Rick Perry vs World

01 June 2005

KBH emails her supporters

Senator Kay Bailey Hutchison emailed her supporters and said she was "disappointed" in the legislative session, but would wait until "the entire legislative process is concluded" to announce her decision. Given that, it doesn't appear that the June 6th announcement is correct. So much for the anonymous source close to KBH's camp.

Perry can sign and veto bills until June 19, which appears to be what KBH means by the legislative process.

According to Hutchison spokesman David Beckwith, the email was "to counter the rumor mill and to assure supporters that she's on her well-defined path in announcing a decision."

Gary Scharrer's take in the SAEN is here. Wayne Slater in DMN is here.

Posted by Evan @ 06/01/05 08:55 PM | Comments (1)

Kronberg claims KBH announcement plans untrue

QR:

Senator Kay Bailey Hutchison is certainly not tipping her hand about future plans. But rumors that she will announce her intentions on Thursday or Friday are not true. Months ago she indicated that any announcement of future plans would be within a couple of weeks of the end of the veto period. Despite all the end of session bar talk and rumors, nothing has changed that plan that we have been able to discover..

We shall see.

I should note that the DMN has their Hutch-o-meter at 100%. Seems a little presumptuous until we hear it from KBH's mouth.

Posted by Evan @ 06/01/05 06:37 PM | Comments (0)

Will Hutchison resign her Senate seat?

Will Hutchison resign her Senate seat to run for governor? Should she?

If she doesn't, will this open up a line of attack for Perry?

I'll have thoughts on this later, but first I wanted to open it up for discussion in the comments.

A few relevant facts to keep in mind:

1. January, February and March are often the busiest months in the Senate's legislative calendar (or so it appeared to me on browsing the Senate legislative calendar for the last few years).
2. Primary is March 7, 2006.
3. If Hutchison resigns, Perry can appoint her replacement, which would then probably trigger a special election

Posted by Evan @ 06/01/05 04:18 PM | Comments (0)

31 May 2005

KBH to announce for guv?

RedState reports that:

According to a highly placed source in U.S. Senator Kay Bailey Hutchison's camp, the Senator is likely to announce her intention to run for Governor of Texas on or about June 6th.

Nothing like anonymously sourced gossip! Still, it's not surprising.

We'll see if KBH's camp confirms or denies this.

(link via Byron at BOR)

Posted by Evan @ 05/31/05 03:43 PM | Comments (2)

30 May 2005

The Hutchometer

The DMN's editorial board's very interesting blog (no permalinks though) has started quantifying the odds that KBH will run for governor.

Right now, their Hutch-o-meter is a 91% chance that KBH will faceoff with Perry in the primary.

According to the blog, Wayne Slater says ""I don't think she's made up her mind. But from what I heard about a meeting she held earlier this week, I think she intends to run."

This was before school finance was truly dead for the regular session. So maybe they'll revise the Hutch-o-meter slightly higher.

Posted by Evan @ 05/30/05 07:57 PM | Comments (0)

"the domino effect"

Wayne Slater reviews the gossip over who is likely to run for what and where the chips will fall if KBH announces a primary challenge to Perry:

If Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison seeks to unseat Gov. Rick Perry in the 2006 Republican primary, she sets off a vigorous round of political musical chairs. Here's a look at some of the scrambling that could take place:

Rep. Henry Bonilla of San Antonio has staked a claim to Ms. Hutchison's seat if she vacates it. But Lt. Gov. David Dewhurst is also said to covet it. A showdown looms between the Texas GOP's premier Hispanic officeholder and the towering millionaire who runs the Texas Senate.

Comptroller Carole Keeton Strayhorn scotches her plans to run for governor and instead seeks the No. 2 job. But Attorney General Greg Abbott, a favorite of the party's conservatives, makes it a race.

An open attorney general's seat attracts a trio of upwardly mobile Republicans: Railroad Commissioner Michael Williams (the party's highest-ranking black officeholder), Texas Supreme Court Justice Harriet O'Neill (a rising female star in the GOP) and Rep. Dan Branch of Dallas.

Agriculture Commissioner Susan Combs runs for comptroller, the state's chief tax collector and revenue estimator. Harris County Judge Robert Eckels, a former legislator, throws his calculator in the ring.

Rep. Warren Chisum, a longtime legislator from Pampa and one of the heartiest conservatives in the Texas House, tries to move up to the Texas Railroad Commission.

Others likely to move: Two prominent legislators may run for agriculture commissioner: Sen. Todd Staples of Palestine and Rep. David Swinford of Dumas. As for land commissioner, Jerry Patterson says he's staying put.

Posted by Evan @ 05/30/05 07:47 PM | Comments (0)

Strayhorn's moment in the sun

The comptroller has to certify the budget under our state constitution. Let's see what Strayhorn does.

Posted by Evan @ 05/30/05 07:44 PM | Comments (0)

School finance is dead

The writing has been on the wall for a couple weeks, but now it's official: school finance is dead.

Perry has said that there won't be a special session.

Will Perry call a special session for school finance? It seems unlikely. Speaker Craddick doesn't seem to have shown any great enthusiasm for a school finance plan, and appears to want to wait for a Supreme Court ruling on the school finance lawsuits.

Perry really wanted a deal on school finance, of course. But if he hasn't been able to get one in the last two regular sessions or the special session...well, something would really have to change for a deal on school finance to be reached. It's a very complicated problem policy-wise, and when you add the political complications of 31 state senators, 150 representatives, and two state officeholders, it gets to be very dicey indeed. It's quite possible that a judicial ruling will be necessary for a new school finance bill.

So it seems more likely to me that we won't have a special session. Perry's already tried to reach a deal, and calling another special session that is likely to be futile will only serve to highlight their failure to get a deal.

Does this make KBH more likely to run? Everybody seems to think that the answer is yes. Seems right to me, because now she has an easy issue to run on.

The AP report is here. Clay Robison in the Chronicle has analysis here, and John Moritz and R.A. Dyer in the FWST have analysis here. Lots of other takes in the newspapers across the state as well.

Posted by Evan @ 05/30/05 07:40 PM | Comments (0)

29 May 2005

the .357

DMN's Rodger Jones last week was wondering when KBH last fired the .357 Magnum she says she keeps by her bed.

Since there are no permalinks on DMN's blog yet, I'll just quote here.

Paydirt! This just in from Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison's press aide concerning her .357 Magnum, the impetus of efforts to change Washington's gun laws:

The Senator told me the last time she fired the .357 Magnum was when she first purchased it to become acquainted with the firearm and to make sure she was comfortable with it. That gun is simply for protection, however, so when she goes hunting or skeet shooting she uses a shotgun or rifle.

Also, about KBH hunting:

It’s been a few years since Sen. Hutchison has purchased a hunting license or gone hunting – probably back in 2002. She went pheasant hunting the last time. Also, the last time she fired a gun was also a few years ago when she went skeet shooting.

While she loves hunting and shooting, it’s been extremely difficult since her two young children, Bailey and Houston, came into her life. But she’s looking forward to getting back out there and hunting soon again.

Maybe nothing earthshattering, but interesting.

Posted by Evan @ 05/29/05 05:58 PM | Comments (0)

28 May 2005

KinkyFriedman.com

I'm on the frontpage of KinkyFriedman.com.

Cool.

I forgot to mention -- it's a rare candidate that has facial hair. Is there any chance that Kinky will ever shave?

Posted by Evan @ 05/28/05 02:09 AM | Comments (2)

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