Rick Perry vs World
19 January 2010
Time to lay that horse down
A story about one of the Dem candidates mentioned this:
Does anyone still believe this?She registered with the Texas Democratic Party to run for lieutenant governor, a position most political analysts consider the most powerful in Texas, because the officeholder presides over the Texas Senate and controls the legislative agenda.
Also, if a Democrat were to actually win Lt. Gov, I think there's a very high chance that the Lite Guv would have an office stripped of its customary (but not constitutional) powers. As in, not powerful at all.
Posted by Evan @ 01/19/10 02:07 AM | Comments (2)        
Debra Medina invited to Jan 29 debate by BELO
Not really too much to add to the title.
I'd rather have seen it be just Perry and Hutchison.
Posted by Evan @ 01/19/10 12:30 AM | Comments (0)        
Rasmussen's poll shows Perry and KBH dropping a point or two, Medina picking them up
Lots of folks talking about the Rasmussen poll. Question wording available here.
831 likely GOP primary voters,+/- 3.5% MoE, in the field 1/17/2010. Numbers in parenthesis are from the November poll.
Perry 43 (46)
Hutchison 33 (35)
Medina 12 (4)
Undecided 11 (14)
Very fav/ Smwht fav/ smwhat unfav/ very unfav/ not sure
Perry 26 / 46 / 17 / 9 /1
Hutchison 23 / 50 / 21 / 4 / 2
Medina 12 / 31 / 20 / 9 / 28
Barack Obama approval percentage: 16%. That seems surprisingly high.
65% say Kay should not resign as Senator while running for governor.
Perry 68% job approval as governor.
Posted by Evan @ 01/19/10 12:01 AM | Comments (0)        
18 January 2010
The Main Event
Obviously the main event in the political world right now is the special election in Mass. It's just unbelievable that the American political climate is so unfriendly to Democrats that an unknown GOPer might beat the Dem. Coakley's numbers seem to be collapsing to the absolute die-hard yellow dog vote up in the Bay State, but when that's like 40% of the vote...crazier things have happened. Models and polling are pretty rough guesses right now.
Nate Silver is the person to read on this score. While Nate isn't really the best person to read farther away from an election when qualitative analysis is more important than quantitative, 538 is definitely required reading today.
Posted by Evan @ 01/18/10 05:31 PM | Comments (0)        
Campaign finance reports
All data from Texas Ethics Commission as of 1/17 for reports filed by January 15th, 2010 for the 6 month period ending December 30, 2009. Incumbents in italics. Figures rounded.
(UPDATE: Added Ted Cruz's numbers.)
Governor
Rick Perry (R)
$7.1M raised
$4.7M expenditure
Cash on hand $11.6M
Kay Bailey Hutchison (R)
$6.1M raised
$6.4M exp
$12.3M COH
Debra Medina (R)
191k raised
164k exp
$58k
Bill White (D)
6.2M raised
151k exp
COH 5.5M
Farouk Shami (D)
57k raised
loans $3M
exp $3.1M
COH 6k
Lt Gov
David Dewhurst (R)
$2.8M raised
$2.2M exp
$1.7M COH (+1.1M in loan as I understand it)
Earle (D)
2k raised
exp 6k
COH 28k
Marc Katz (D)
7k raised
exp 6k
COH 9k
Chavez-Thompson (D)
no report
Attorney General
Greg Abbott (R)
1.2M raised
456k exp
$10.2M COH
Ted Cruz (R - will run in case of Abbott switching to Senate race)
$256k raised
$283 exp
$986k COH
Radnofsky (D)
$331k raised
157 exp
COH 388
Land Commissioner
Jerry Patterson (R)
199k raised
108k exp
COH 655k
Uribe (D)
no report
Agriculture Commissioner
Todd Staples (R)
541k raised
123k exp
864k COH
Kinky Friedman (D)
140k raised
112 exp
53k COH
Hank Gilbert (D)
225k raised
82k exp
coh 113k
Railroad Commissioner
Victor Carrillo (R)
119k raised
53k exp
652 COH
David Porter (R)
no report
Jeffry Weems (D)
95k
exp 59k
COH 37k
Posted by Evan @ 01/18/10 01:01 PM | Comments (0)        
17 January 2010
Perry "Bailout" ad
Script below the jump. Can't remember where I found it.
Posted by Evan @ 01/17/10 10:02 PM | Comments (0)        
Weekend links
* The State Board of Education passed a resolution supporting Perry's decision not to apply for federal money.
* DMN's James Drew says that Perry seriously misrepresented the facts when he said during the debate that "voted for $20 billion to bailout the auto industry." In the next paragraph Drew acknowledges that Hutchison "voted against a provision that would have barred financial-bailout money from going to auto companies."
So...in what way was there any misrepresentation of the facts?
* Straus, Dewhurst and Perry issued a letter asking state agencies for a 5% cut in spending. It's not actually as deep as it seems, as the Austin Chronicle notes:
It's not the whole budget, just what's paid for by general and general revenue-dedicated appropriations. On top that, the request exempts a few items, including: benefits and eligibility staffing levels for Children's Health Insurance Program, Medicaid and foster care, plus total exemptions for the Foundation School Program, debt service, and contributions to Social Security, the Teacher and Employees Retirement Programs and the Higher Education Fund. So, most of the budget.In other words, of $182.3 billion in the budget, the cuts only apply to about $32 billion. Still, that would cover $1.6 billion of the hole.
The FWST adds this Bill White quote from a press release:
"For months, he should have been identifying efficiencies and productivity improvements that would allow a reduction in spending without a compromise in services delivered," said White, former mayor of Houston. "This exercise has occurred among well-run businesses in Texas and cities such as Houston. Any well-run organization can find these kind of deficiencies, but it takes attention to detail and strong management skills to implement them."Right, Bill White is just Mr. Fiscal Manager. Right. I'd love to hear a detailed list from Bill White on what areas he will cut in the budget, especially while he's in the Democratic primary.
Any chance the media actually asks him for that?
* SAEN's Gary Martin notes that KBH is up for the Porker of the Year Award given by the Citizens Against Government Waste to those who obtain the most pork. She is on the Appropriations Cmte; I don't think that's a secret by now.
Posted by Evan @ 01/17/10 09:07 PM | Comments (2)        
15 January 2010
KBH's new ad
They're really in love with the scrolling road signs concept, aren't they?
Posted by Evan @ 01/15/10 01:59 PM | Comments (1)        
Obama's voicemail to Parker
The White House wasn't pleased that Barack Obama's congratulations voicemail to Houston Mayor Annise Parker went on YouTube.
I thought it was a little strange that he used his title.
Posted by Evan @ 01/15/10 12:53 PM | Comments (0)        
Morning links
* Burka's take on the debates.
* Wayne Slater's take.
* A national education magazine gave Texas an A on standards and accountability, bolstering Perry's claim to not bother applying for federal education money. Apparently 11 states have copied Texas' standards. Who knew?
* Hutchison agrees with Perry's decision not to apply.
* Today is the deadline to file those campaign finance reports, so if you're an entrepreneuring sleuth, feel free to google yourself to death this weekend.
* If you've read my blog lately, I really should get a copy editor. Especially this post. Good post (especially for being my 3rd priority while multitasking), bad editing. Maybe I should go clean it up...probably won't get around to it.
* I mentioned that I'd go with "Shami for governor" before "Farouk for governor." Burt Levine comments that Farouk is part of the wannabe underwear bomber's name. So...more reason to go with Shami. Nice catch.
* Kevin Whited suggested a much better name for this post than I came up with myself. Noted and will be corrected.
Posted by Evan @ 01/15/10 06:51 AM | Comments (1)        
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