Rick Perry vs World

15 November 2007

LAT likes Dowd

The LATimes glows over Matt Dowd.

Posted by Evan @ 11/15/07 07:04 AM | Comments (1)

14 November 2007

I heart what?

Anyone else noticed that Mike Huckabee of 2008 is the John McCain of 2000?

Republican presidential primary campaigns predicated on mainstream media support -- especially when wholly failing to establish critical campaign infrastructure -- inevitably fail.

Posted by Evan @ 11/14/07 06:34 PM | Comments (0)

Windows Vista...

...is possibly the least stable operating system I have ever used. Supposedly it's all hardware compatibility issues, but I don't particularly care. It crashes. Daily. At. Least.

Posted by Evan @ 11/14/07 05:43 PM | Comments (1)

On Hillary's strategic calculations

Professors Taylor and Carnahan write:

Troy McCullough in today’s Wall Street Journal notes that many conservatives have pinned their hopes on Hillary Clinton winning the Democratic nomination, expecting it to reunite their political ranks and motivate enough disillusioned Republican voters to head to the polls next November to secure victory.

But according to David Weigel in the American Conservative, this is a profound miscalculation. We wholeheartedly agree.

The Professors are obviously right.

One thing people don't understand about the Clintons is that they think in terms of grand strategy. People talk about Bill Clinton's tactical brilliance, but it was his foresight in grand strategy that allowed him to overcome his personal foibles and become president. Hillary is the same way -- the Clintons have had success because they are willing to compromise in order to be elected.

Republicans -- such as Bush adviser Dan Bartlett, who's back in Austin telling people that the GOP has a chance if Hillary is nominated -- don't seem to understand this. Hillary has softened and is continuing to soften her edges. Even though many in the media have mocked Hillary and Bill playing the gender card, the fact is that Hillary can afford to play it because one of her edges is that she is...not feminine. Going feminine humanizes her in a way that she's not comfortable doing herself.

If Republicans expect Hillary to motivate a depressed base, they are likely to find themselves disappointed.

Posted by Evan @ 11/14/07 05:42 PM | Comments (0)

Conventional wisdom on the 22nd

On the Republican side, there's a few serious contenders right now: Pete Olson, Shelley Sekula-Gibbs, John Manlove, Robert Talton, Dean Hrbacek.

Right now, I'd say most people think it's going to end up in a runoff between Pete Olson and Shelley. Olson will probably raise the most money, and find the most endorsements, while Shelley has some residual support from running in 2006 for 2008 [no one is going to find that joke funny. -- ed.]. Manlove and Talton will split the Pasadena vote enough that neither make the runoff, and Hrbacek probably won't raise enough money. Most assume that Olson will take Shelley in the runoff, if he's a competent enough candidate to make the runoff.

Barring a landslide Democratic year in 08, it's tough to see Nick Lampson surviving. Back to Beaumont, Nick.

Posted by Evan @ 11/14/07 05:20 PM | Comments (9)

CREEC*

Paul Burka's article on John Cornyn -- available in the new Texas Monthly -- is now temporarily available online.

* Double bonus points if you catch the reference in the title. For once, it isn't a Jay-Z reference.

Posted by Evan @ 11/14/07 04:36 PM | Comments (1)

The Ashby Highrise

Over the past couple months, it's been amusing to watch the uproar over the tower of condos planned for the corner of Ashby and Bissonnet. It's made the national news and such. I've more or less lived in the neighborhood for 3 years, although I only rent the cheapest housing, so maybe I'm not much of a resident anyway. It's impressive that nearly every house in Southampton has those ugly anti-high rise lawn signs.

My position on the tower can best be described thus:

Nothing unites the very rich like keeping down the merely rich.

It's also amusing watching Bill White kowtow to his wealthy establishment constituents. Now that's something he's good at; too bad he doesn't spend as much time on the crime rate in southwest Houston.

Posted by Evan @ 11/14/07 04:27 PM | Comments (0)

17 October 2007

WSJ:

One buyer [of commoditized subprime mortgages] was Mr. Kelsoe, a senior portfolio manager at the asset-management unit of Morgan Keegan & Co., a Memphis, Tenn., investment firm and unit of Regions Financial Corp. At the time, Mr. Kelsoe was riding the housing boom by investing heavily in mortgage-backed securities. At the end of 2005, his RMK Select High Income Fund showed a five-year average annual gain of nearly 14%, according to Morningstar Inc. That performance beat all U.S. high-yield funds as well as the Dow Jones Industrial Average. His success brought him a bit of celebrity. He appeared on CNBC, was quoted in The Wall Street Journal and gave investing lectures at universities.

"He talked about the importance of identifying and assessing risk," says Wilburn Lane, head of the business school at Lambuth University in Jackson, Tenn. Mr. Kelsoe spoke there in October 2006 to some 300 local businesspeople over a chicken-and-vegetables lunch. Mr. Lane, who says he was impressed with the 44-year-old's track record, later invested in one of the seven funds managed by Mr. Kelsoe.

Even the smartest people routinely underestimate the possibilities of remote events.

People wonder why I'm rarely interested in hearing lectures. I find that books are better investments of my time; it's easier to filter for quality and I can quit a book easier than a lecture.

Posted by Evan @ 10/17/07 03:53 PM | Comments (0)

Public Service Announcement

Phenomenal indie rock group Mutemath will be on Conan O'Brien tonight.

Posted by Evan @ 10/17/07 03:47 PM | Comments (0)

Perry wants to be Veep

Yeah, I'd heard the rumors for a long time. Yeah, I thought there was a possibility. Still, I'm surprised that Rick Perry is endorsing Giuliani. I guess Perry really does want to be Veep.

Posted by Evan @ 10/17/07 12:57 PM | Comments (1)

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