Rick Perry vs World

25 November 2010

Happy Thanksgiving

Happy Thanksgiving. I'm particularly grateful this year for my wife and my daughter, who will be born in February.

Posted by Evan @ 11/25/10 01:35 PM | Comments (0)

23 November 2010

HW and Barbara Bush all but endorse Mitt Romney

GEORGE H.W. BUSH: If you asked me, who was the nominee be [sic], I couldn't tell you. We like Mitt Romney. We know him well and like him very much.

BARBARA BUSH: I'll go with George. Mitt Romney. I like a lot of them. But I like people who feel that you can respect other people's ideas. I like that a lot.

A strange non-endorsement endorsement. Romney was so inspired by Ronald Reagan and his VP HW that he called himself an independent during Reagan's presidency.

Posted by Evan @ 11/23/10 06:05 PM | Comments (0)

No need for KBH tea leaves? She's running

When Senator Hutchison is writing editorials like this one in the Chron, everyone assumes she's running:

Republicans in the House and Senate recently took a historic step and voted to support a moratorium on Congressional earmarks. I supported this effort because it will give Congress the opportunity to make our nation's budget process more transparent and accountable, and it will allow us to focus on cutting spending.

I think I was the first one to remark after the primary that it looked like KBH was making moves to run for re-election in 2012. This move certainly makes it look likely. KBH has historically been a fairly prolific earmarker and had stood with McConnell in opposing an earmark ban. I don't know anyone who isn't interpreting this as a move to run for re-election.

Here's a fun parlor game: how many primary opponents will KBH get if she decides to run again? I'll put the over/under at 3.5. I'd put her at under a 50% chance to win re-election if she decides to run.

Posted by Evan @ 11/23/10 03:02 PM | Comments (0)

I wouldn't call these tea leaves

It is amazing to me that every Austinite I talk to tells me that Perry is "definitely," "100%" running for president. I mean, almost every single person thinks he is running. I don't think so. If he is, he has the strangest way of running for president that I've ever seen.

On the other hand, Chris Christie joked that maybe comitting suicide was the only way to convince people he wasn't running, and NJ insiders remain convinced that he is running, so maybe this just means state capitol insiders like to have something to talk about.

Posted by Evan @ 11/23/10 10:40 AM | Comments (0)

22 November 2010

Things I think about the race for Speaker (if there even is one)

1. Does anyone care about what RedState thinks? I don't. The anti-Straus narrative fits into Erickson's worldview, but that doesn't necessarily make it correct.

2. Joe Straus does not deserve credit for the 22 seat Texas House pickup on election day. That's silly. Straus and Craddick were both marginal influences in the partisan makeup of the TX House for the past decade.

3. The Texas media have really climbed aboard the Joe Straus bandwagon. I hope Straus is enjoying his encomium, because he may not have another moment like this one until his funeral.

4. Not sure that the announced speaker candidates are the best candidates, or even the most likely to be speaker if the Speaker isn't named Straus.

5. Pressure from third party groups is probably mostly about laying the foundation to challenge Straus in two years if they are not satisfied with this session. It doesn't seem like they've really given a reason to vote against Straus, except that Democratic machinations resulted in his speakership.

6. Races for speaker are probably some of the best experiments around in human individual and group behavior.

Posted by Evan @ 11/22/10 11:20 PM | Comments (0)

11 November 2010

Microblogging

When I'm not blogging, I'm more likely tagging things in my Diigo feed, which also appears over by the ads on the right sidebar. Feel free to click.

I'd note particularly this article at Texas Watchdog, which seems to suggest that the Rice and UH administrations were practicing quite a bit of deception in the sale of KTRU.

Posted by Evan @ 11/11/10 08:57 PM | Comments (0)

08 November 2010

Who controls redistricting

Via Politico, a chart of who control Congressional redistricting in each state, as well as a chart of who controls statehouse redistricting.

Posted by Evan @ 11/08/10 08:29 PM | Comments (0)

Rick Perry vs Jon Stewart

I don't watch (m)any interviews on TV, but I am planning on watching the Daily Show tonight (10pm, Comedy Central) to see Jon Stewart interview Rick Perry.

Posted by Evan @ 11/08/10 06:26 PM | Comments (2)

06 November 2010

The Olbermann suspension

Put me in the camp of people who don't understand why Keith Olbermann was suspended by MSNBC. He donated a few thousand dollars to Democrats. So what? He maxed out to Raul Grijalva, which doesn't even come close to the worth of the repeated media exposure he gave him.

The funniest part is that he is suspended for violating their standards of impartiality. Has anyone who has ever watched Olbermann for more than 3 minutes thought that he was impartial? Bizarre.

Posted by Evan @ 11/06/10 01:34 PM | Comments (0)

The Texas Connection to Marco Rubio

Weekly Standard:

When he met with former Florida governor Jeb Bush in December 2008, Rubio left the conversation believing that Bush intended to run for the seat. The two men had become close over the previous decade, when Rubio, serving in the Florida House of Representatives, was a strong legislative ally of Governor Bush. If Bush was running, Rubio wasn't. The two men spoke again in January, and Bush told Rubio that he had decided against a run. Bush encouraged Rubio to consider entering the race. It didn't take much convincing.

On January 23, Rubio met with Heath Thompson and Malorie Miller, political consultants from the respected Dallas-based firm Scott Howell and Company. Miller had known Rubio from her days working in the Florida legislature, and she wanted to work for Rubio if he decided to run. They pitched him informally and began talking regularly with Rebull, Rubio's longtime confidant and a sharp South Florida Republican and former vice president of the Florida Marlins.

Given the relatively lackluster Republican options so far, how long until people start talking about Rubio for president?

Posted by Evan @ 11/06/10 01:28 PM | Comments (0)

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