Rick Perry vs World

06 August 2010

Map of Why Perry Wins Re-election

Here's the link for the map.

Posted by Evan @ 08/06/10 07:07 PM | Comments (0)

Bill White for Obama

I've gotten a few hits for people searching "Who did Bill White support for president?"

Answer: Barack Obama. But perhaps this means Bill White ducking Obama will have some effect?

Posted by Evan @ 08/06/10 03:14 PM | Comments (0)

03 August 2010

ObamaCare!

Kevin Brady's committee staff released this chart on how to understand ObamaCare:
understanding ObamaCare

Posted by Evan @ 08/03/10 05:58 PM | Comments (0)

Newsweek sells for $1

The Washington Post Co has picked Sidney Harman as its buyer for Newsweek because he promised no layoffs and is a Democrat. From the Daily Beast:

But make no mistake, Harman's pocket change purchase of Newsweek -- he paid $1, plus the assumption of liabilities for the magazine -- has to be a passion play, because it certainly isn't a financial one. The Daily Beast has obtained a copy of the 66-page sales memorandum that the Newsweek seller, the Washington Post Co., gave to prospective buyers, and it paints the picture of a media property given to someone unequipped to fundamentally change its current trajectory.

Much will depend on finding a near-genius editor and an inspired publisher and on their freedom and shared approach, as well as on their bankroll. As with many weeklies, Newsweek's financial freefall is jarring. Revenue dropped 38 percent between 2007 and 2009, to $165 million. Newsweek's negligible operating loss (not including certain pension and early retirement changes) of $3 million in 2007 turned into a bloodbath: the business lost $32 million in 2008 and $39.5 million in 2009. Even after reducing headcount by 33 percent and slashing the number of issues printed and distributed to readers each week from 2.6 million to 1.5 million, the 2010 operating loss is still forecast at $20 million.

You'd think Evan Smith might be on Harman's short list for Newsweek, wouldn't you?

Posted by Evan @ 08/03/10 02:21 PM | Comments (0)

30 July 2010

The 'moderate Republican' Dallas businessmen for Bill White...are Democrats

Dave Montgomery, FWST:

More than a dozen prominent Dallas business and civic leaders, including several who supported Kay Bailey Hutchison in the Republican primary for governor, have signed a letter backing Democrat Bill White in his effort to unseat Republican Gov. Rick Perry in the Nov. 2 general election.

The White campaign hopes to use the prestigious names to help the former Houston mayor cut into Perry's support among conservative business circles and illustrate his ability to reach across party lines.

John Adams, former chairman and CEO of Chase Bank of Texas, said the majority of the signers are moderate Republicans like himself. But he said some are independents who have supported both Democrats and Republicans.

About half the signers supported Hutchison in the primary, according to White's campaign.

Eyeballing the list (printed below), I didn't see names I recognized as being Republicans, moderate or otherwise. Here's the list:

Among the signers are Dallas investor Edward "Rusty" Rose, a prominent supporter of former President George W. Bush who served with Bush as a partner in the Texas Rangers baseball club; former Pizza Hut executive Mike Rawlings; and Lucy Billingsley, who heads a multimillion-dollar real estate company. Others include Garrett Boone, co-founder of the Container Store, and his wife, Cecilia; investor Bill Montgomery and his wife, Susan; and Naomi Aberly, a philanthropist who formerly chaired Planned Parenthood of North Texas. Former Dallas/Fort Worth Airport board Chairman Tom Dunning, who signed the letter with his wife, Sally Dunning...

I'm all for people calling themselves whatever they want to call themselves, but if someone gives hundreds of thousands of dollars to Democrats and never to Republicans, I generally don't call that person a moderate Republican. I call them a Democrat.

So let's go in reverse order of the people mentioned by Dave Montgomery as business leaders (and moderate Republicans) for Bill White, according to the research I spent this morning doing in databases for federal races:

Tom and Sally Dunning. Sally Dunning is a prolific donor. By the records I checked, she had given 100% to Democrats. Her husband Tom had given even more prolifically, and about 95% of his hundreds of thousands of dollars went to Democrats.

Naomi Aberly. The former chair of Planned Parenthood has also given hundreds of thousands. 100% to Democrats.

Susan and Bill Montgomery. Susan Montgomery has given about 75-80% of her donations to Democrats. If you take out donations to Kay Bailey Hutchison, she's given about 90+% to Democrats, including to Bill Clinton over George Bush in 92 and Ron Kirk in 2002. She maxed out for Obama in 08. Bill Montgomery is a little bit more difficult to say for certain, as there are alot of William Montgomerys who contribute politically. However, if I located his giving correctly -- and I'm about 90% sure I have -- he's given mostly to Democrats, including Bill Clintons campaigns, Ron Kirk in 2002 and several challengers to W in 2004.

Garrett and Cecilia Boone. Garrett Boone has probably donated about $100k, and 100% of it was to Democrats. Obama, John Edwards, Rick Noriega, Harry Reid, Ron Kirk. Cecilia Boone has given even more prolifically, maxing out to both Hillary, John Edwards and Obama, as well as Chet Edwards, Ron Kirk, etc etc. 100% of her donations were to Democrats.

Lucy Billingsley. She maxed out for both Obama and Hillary in 2008. She maxed out to Ron Kirk over John Cornyn in 2002, though she did give Cornyn $1k a month after that election. She's probably given about 50/50 to Republicans and Democrats, although if you took out Kay Bailey Hutchison (her largest recipient) then she would have given distinctly more to Democrats.

Michael Rawlings. Maxed out to Obama, Hillary, McCain and John Edwards in 2008. Without calculating exactly, I'd say he's given between 75-90% of his money to Democrats. If I'm correct about his wife -- and I'm pretty sure I am -- she's also an 80%ish Democratic donor (the exception being W).

Edward "Rusty" Rose. Chose Ron Kirk over John Cornyn in 2002. The majority of his donations are to George W. Bush and committees that W raised money for while he was president. Because of that, more than 50% of his donations have gone to Republicans. If, however, you exclude his donations to W, then he's 50/50 or even leaning Democrat. In Texas races, he appears to have frequently chosen the Democrat. For example, he chose Bob Krueger over Kay Bailey Hutchison in 93, as well as Kirk over Cornyn.

John Adams. Longtime and frequent contributor to Martin Frost. Maxed out in primary and general to Chet Edwards this cycle. Chose Ron Kirk over John Cornyn in 2002. Adams has probably given about 65% to Republicans, I'd say, although a significant amount of that is contributions to W and KBH. You could make the argument that in the competitive races in Texas that he's donated to, John Adams favored the Democrat.

Despite John Adams' spin, these "moderate Republicans" are actually not moderate Republicans. If they are, they are a very strange breed of moderate Republican that likes to give lots of money to Democrats.

In short, Bill White has the support of some Democrats who are Dallas businessmen. How exactly does that help him reach into conservative business circles and cross party lines?

Posted by Evan @ 07/30/10 08:54 AM | Comments (2)

28 July 2010

Bill Archer cuts a striking contrast

Politico:

The curse of Ways and Means Committee chairmen hangs over the House this week.

As with Charles Rangel, the careers of his longtime Democratic predecessors ended with sad and ignominious ousters that weakened the once-powerful committee and ultimately the Democratic majority.

The sins of Dan Rostenkowski and Wilbur Mills, as well as those of Rangel, had little to do with the work of the tax-writing panel, as Ways and Means defenders point out. But in each case, Democratic barons were taken down by sins of venality and the perception of personal entitlement.

All Democrats, interestingly. Reading this made me think: it's a shame that Bill Archer isn't still in charge of the tax committee. He was an excellent chairman.

Posted by Evan @ 07/28/10 11:56 AM | Comments (0)

Bill White San Antonio ad

Bill White's ad targeting San Antonio

Not bad, but kinda unfocused. Why do they keep changing their slogan and focus every month or so?

Posted by Evan @ 07/28/10 08:44 AM | Comments (0)

Bill White tells Dallas radio station he won't vote for Obama?

I'm hearing that Bill White said he won't vote for Obama in 2012. Anyone have an audio clip?

Posted by Evan @ 07/28/10 04:41 AM | Comments (0)

27 July 2010

Diigo links on the sidebar

I've started using Diigo to tag what I'm reading around the web. The links should now appear on the sidebar, or you can click to read my annotations. It's not too pretty on the sidebar, but I'm pretty function over form when it comes to this blog.

And to be honest, it makes me way less motivated to blog when I can just do a Diigo feed.

Posted by Evan @ 07/27/10 05:51 AM | Comments (0)

23 July 2010

Henry Cisneros bearish on Obama re-election chances

TT interview with Henry Cisneros:

TT: Do you think [President] Obama can still galvanize Latino voters in 2012?

Cisneros: It�s too early to be talking about reelection. We have an election to get through in 2010, and the lay of the land after that will be [that] more Republican or Democrats will have been affirmed. And there are a lot of issues that will play out in the next session of Congress. So I think today he�s obviously not as strong as he was in 2008 -- the bloom is off the rose in some ways, the polls make that clear. But he is certainly in fighting position and one would have to say he has the advantage against anybody running against him. I see no primary challenge at this point and a fighting chance to win a second term.

Emphasis mine, which is a shocking admission in my opinion.

I suppose we can differ on what "a fighting chance" means quantitatively, but that's generally a phrase that underestimates Obama's chances at winning re-election vis a vis my own thoughts. Obama has underperformed nearly everyone's expectations as president, but the power of incumbency is strong indeed.

Posted by Evan @ 07/23/10 01:45 PM | Comments (0)

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