re: Bill White's ceiling

As I mentioned in the previous post, I don't think I've seen a single public poll in the entire race that has Bill White over 43%. Even with sample errors and randomness, you'd think that he'd get over 43% in a few polls here or there. If he's really at 42%, then we should have seen a 45% in there just based on randomness alone.

That speaks to what I've been saying all along: running like Bill White has as a generic Democrat in Texas during a strong Republican year has a ceiling. We know what that ceiling is: about 43%.

Bill White should have heeded my advice; he certainly shouldn't have begun the campaign telling reporters how liberal he grew up.

Posted by Evan @ 10/23/10 03:10 PM


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