If Republicans want to beat Obama, they can't nominate Romney, Palin, Huck or Newt

I've said for a long time that Obama will be much tougher to beat than people seem to realize. Here's a data point: PPP just did a poll of North Carolina and found these results in a ballot test:

Obama 44
Romney 44

Huckabee 48
Obama 44

Palin 43
Obama 48

Obama 46
Gingrich 45

The poll is only of 517 North Carolina registered voters, and PPP's results sometimes lean a bit Dem.

The point isn't the individual numbers, but that the ballot test numbers are close. That says it all. While Obama eeked out McCain in NC in 2008 by .4% if memory serves, North Carolina is a state that must be red if the Republican nominee is to have a chance in 2012 (W won by 12-15%ish in 2000 and 2004 if I recall). With the economy as bad as it is and distaste for Obama's policies as high as it is, if none of these candidates can be solidly beating Obama in North Carolina right now, then they are very clearly not the right choice against Obama.

If Republicans want to win in 2012, they must look beyond the four current frontrunners.

Posted by Evan @ 11/26/10 09:56 AM


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