New CD22 blog up
Thought I'd note the birth of a new blog watching CD22.
They have a post up with their own early prognostications (compare to my own conventional wisdom). They think that the race comes down to Olson, Shelley, and Hrbacek. I didn't make it clear in my post, but I agree that Hrbacek is the 3rd most likely to make the runoff. Talton will pick up some social conservatives, and he could make it if the field fractures enough for his base to put him in the runoffs. Still, you'd have to think he's fourth and quite a bit behind Hrbacek (who is a bit behind Olson and Shelley, though Olson could fail to get traction).
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