The Chron poll
The Houston Chronicle/KHOU have released their pre-election poll, done by Zogby. Of note, I'm fairly certain that every cycle from 2000 until now have been Murray/Stein, so the Chron has decided to change pollsters.
Here're their results:
Perry 38%Another data point. I'm still feeling okay about my prediction, and will resist the urge to rejigger it.
They also have some CD22 results:
Sekula-Gibbs might get 30% of the vote. Maybe. I doubt it. Polling this is pretty difficult, and I'm not a fan of the way they polled it. [Read the script here]. I'd have asked the questions differently.
I know the NRCC has spent quite a bit (over a million) in this race, so maybe they're seeing something in their more sophisticated polling. But I still don't buy it.
Shelley Sekula Gibbs did not get 35% of the vote in this poll. "Write-in" got 35%, of which SSG got 79%. So that puts her at 27.6%. Additionally, I imagine the sample size of 177 voters who said they would write-in a candidate must have a higher margin of error than the poll as a whole.
Click on "Complete Results for District 22 poll" on the left hand side of the article to see the breakdown of write-in candidates.
Posted by Ryan Goodland @ 10/30/06 08:56 AM
Err... I meant right hand side of the article.
Posted by Ryan Goodland @ 10/30/06 08:57 AM
No flames or impolite behavior. HTML will be stripped. URLs will be transformed into hyperlinks.
Comments must be approved before being published.