Upset in SD18?
The conventional wisdom in Austin is that Rep. Glenn Hegar is a strong favorite to win the SD18 GOP primary (whoever wins the primary should win the seat) against Gary Gates.
Chris Elam (Gates' consultant) seems pretty psyched about Gates' chances right now, based on tracking polls they've run. I feel confident that they aren't rigging their polls either, since they aren't releasing them to the press. Of course, Gates has run twice against Hegar in HD28 before, and Hegar has won both times. Both races got very negative at the end, and this race looks like it'll be the same.
If Dan Patrick and Gary Gates are in the Texas Senate next year, I think it would be an interesting session indeed.
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