the Dem lite guv race
Gary Scharrer profiles it for the Chron/SAEN this weekend.
Jillson says Katz has no strengths. Well, he announced he was going to raise millions from family members, only to then announce that he wasn't going to do it. Perhaps he is going to self-fund for millions, I don't know, but it does seem unlikely that he is going to win without enough money to counteract his lack of name ID. And it doesn't help when you apparently base your campaign plan on something that you change your mind about a week later...not exactly a solid way to convince donors/activists/voters that you have the qualities to be lieutenant governor.
But the odds remain long that a Democrat will knock off Dewhurst in the fall, said Cal Jillson, a Southern Methodist University political science professor who studies state and national politics.
Katz still will be selling sandwiches next year, Jillson predicted.
"Ronnie Earle and Linda Chavez-Thompson have visible strengths," he said. "Earle is a Texas populist in the (Ralph) Yarborough/(Jim) Hightower tradition, and Chavez-Thompson is a national Hispanic activist. Neither is terribly well-known. Hard to tell who wins the primary, but neither is likely to have the money to stand in against Dewhurst."
Presumably Jillson wanted to say something like: all 3 would be longshots against Dewhurst in this state, especially in what appears to be a strong Republican year, but the fact that they probably can't raise enough money precludes any possibility. However, as quoted, it seems to suggest that money is the only factor. Which clearly isn't the case: Earle and Chavez-Thompson simply aren't the types of candidates who are going to win statewide in modern day Texas without a lucky fluke.
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