Wake up, Wednesday

* Is Bill White ducking debates? Felix Alvarado thinks he is.

* I have some longish, more serious posts fermenting. Let's see if I get around to writing them out and posting them. I'm generally happy when I read this blog ("Not bad, Evan, for something you write on background while multitasking. But really, your longer posts...they sometimes make you seem only mildly literate?")

* AP:

Gov. Rick Perry is denouncing President Barack Obama's plan to let local school districts directly compete for federal education grant dollars that Texas has already rejected.

Obama singled out Texas in outlining his proposal on Tuesday. He said local school districts "stymied by state-decision makers" would have a chance to pursue the money on its own.

My natural tendencies are to agree with both Perry's decision not to take the funds (Hutchison agreed for those who google this in the future) and with Obama's decision to let school districts apply.

Local control is good. The Founding Fathers liked it.

* Shami donated $150kish to Hank Gilbert after he dropped out of the governor's race. At the time, there were lots of rumors of a backroom deal. At the very least, you have to wonder why Shami would donate to Gilbert with those rumors swirling.

The link above was brief. Try Aman Batheja for more.

* I agree with Jason Stanford:

So who does Medina help more? When I asked Democratic consultant Jason Stanford that question Monday night, he replied, "She pulls anti-Washington, right-wing votes from Perry and anti-Perry votes from Kay Bailey. But since she pulls Perry down from 50 percent plus one vote and forces a runoff, then she hurts him more."
I agree with Stanford: Medina hurts Perry in that she makes a runoff more likely. Now, Perry is more likely to win a run-off as his supporters are more dedicated, but any run-off always increases the variance. Politicians sometimes make mistakes, and incumbents are more likely to make them (and have them reported by the press).

I should probably mention that I also think I agree with Paul Burka's take, which is supposedly diametric. (Why is it diametric? Because that's what journalists do, but in this case Jason Embry thoroughly reported, and thus they aren't. Kudos to him.) Yet even if Medina draws more votes from KBH than from Perry, drawing votes in a 50% + 1 hurts Perry more.

* Even before seeing the date 9 days from now, I would love to bet anyone that Medina does not reach 12% on the only poll that counts on Election Day. It doesn't matter how well she does in the debate or how negative the campaigns go, she's not going to hit 12% at any reasonable odds.

* The Aggies are getting close to picking a new president. Given the history, how long until some folks accuse Perry of involvement?

Posted by Evan @ 01/20/10 03:05 AM

 
 

Previous Entry | Home | Next Entry



Comments

No comments yet

Add Comments

No flames or impolite behavior. HTML will be stripped. URLs will be transformed into hyperlinks.

 


Comments must be approved before being published.

SITE MENU

+ Rick Perry vs World
+ About Me

+ Archives

+ Email:
  perryvsworld* at *gmail dot com

DISCLAIMER

All content © Rick Perry vs. World and the respective authors.

Rick Perry vs. World is powered by Nucleus.

Site design and Nucleus customization by Kevin Whited.


ARCHIVES

+August 2017
+July 2017
+June 2017
+May 2017
+April 2017
+March 2017
+February 2017
+January 2017
+December 2016
+November 2016
+October 2016
+September 2016
+August 2016
+July 2016
+June 2016
+May 2016
+April 2016
+March 2016
+February 2016
+January 2016
+December 2015
+November 2015
+October 2015
+September 2015
+August 2015
+July 2015
+June 2015
+May 2015
+April 2015
+March 2015
+February 2015
+January 2015
+December 2014
+November 2014
+October 2014
+September 2014
+August 2014
+July 2014
+June 2014
+May 2014
+April 2014
+March 2014
+February 2014
+January 2014
+December 2013
+November 2013
+October 2013
+September 2013
+August 2013
+July 2013
+June 2013
+May 2013
+April 2013
+March 2013
+February 2013
+January 2013
+December 2012
+November 2012
+October 2012
+September 2012
+August 2012
+July 2012
+June 2012
+May 2012
+April 2012
+March 2012
+February 2012
+January 2012
+December 2011
+November 2011
+October 2011
+September 2011
+August 2011
+July 2011
+June 2011
+May 2011
+April 2011
+March 2011
+February 2011
+January 2011
+December 2010
+November 2010
+October 2010
+September 2010
+August 2010
+July 2010
+June 2010
+May 2010
+April 2010
+March 2010
+February 2010
+January 2010
+December 2009
+November 2009
+October 2009
+September 2009
+August 2009
+July 2009
+June 2009
+May 2009
+April 2009
+March 2009
+February 2009
+January 2009
+December 2008
+November 2008
+October 2008
+September 2008
+August 2008
+July 2008
+June 2008
+May 2008
+April 2008
+March 2008
+February 2008
+January 2008
+December 2007
+November 2007
+October 2007
+September 2007
+August 2007
+July 2007
+June 2007
+May 2007
+April 2007
+March 2007
+February 2007
+January 2007
+December 2006
+November 2006
+October 2006
+September 2006
+August 2006
+July 2006
+June 2006
+May 2006
+April 2006
+March 2006
+February 2006
+January 2006
+December 2005
+November 2005
+October 2005
+September 2005
+August 2005
+July 2005
+June 2005
+May 2005
+April 2005
+March 2005
+February 2005
+January 2005
+December 2004
Links:
+Acton MBA
+EVN
+Ethereum News
+ICO Calendar
+How to prepare for CFA exams