The Perry Poll shows him up 13
Hat tip to Rick v. Kay. I don't put too much stock in the commentary, but it is interesting to note. And of course, Baselice has a near impeccable reputation as a pollster.
TO: Texans for Rick Perry
FR: Mike Baselice
RE: Statewide Survey of Republican Primary Voters
Below are a few results froma telephone survey of N=609 randomly selected Republican primary
voters in Texas that we conducted December 19-21, 2009. The margin of error to the results of
this survey is +/- 4.1% at the .95 test level. I am in town all week to discuss in more detail.
Just as we observed in our survey conducted a few months ago, Rick Perry holds a double-digit
lead over challenger Kay Bailey Hutchison.
If the Republican primary election for Governor of Texas was held today, and you had to make a
choice, for which one of the following candidates would you vote? (Randomize choices)
49% Rick Perry
36% Kay Bailey Hutchison
5% Debra Medina
1% Other names (volunteered)
10% Undecided / refused (volunteered)
Since Hutchison spent nearly three million dollars on media in the last four weeks, and the Perry
spent about one million dollars, it is not unexpected for there to be more recall of Hutchison’s ads
than Perry's ads. However, the expenditures by Hutchison have not generated the results her
campaign intended as Perry leads Hutchison by 54% to 36% among those respondents who can
recall television ads about both candidates. Moreover, Perry even leads Hutchison by 46% to 40%
among those respondents who recall television ads only about Hutchison.
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